Saturday 9th June 2018, 2:50pm, Haydock, 1m 4f (1m 3f 175y) Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 1) (4yo+)
The Pinnacle Stakes was established in 2003 and was initially classified as a Listed race, before being upgraded to Group 3 status in 2012.
Three jockeys have won the race twice, Neil Callan in 2011 and 2102, Paul Hanagan in 2010 and 2015 and Frankie Dettori in 2008 and 2016. Roger Varian and John Gosden have both saddled the winners twice during the short history of the race.
As the race has only been run 15 times the statistics need to considered with caution. However, the betting appears to be of help with eight out of the last 12 winners being sent off in the first three in the betting. However there have only been three occasions when the favourite has won over the same period and the biggest priced winner of the race during the period had a starting price of 10/1.
In the 15 renewals of the race 73% or 11 of the winners have been four year olds which represents a very strong statistic.
Although nine of the last 12 winners had at least one previous run in earlier in the season only four had won on their previous start and none of the winners had previously won at Haydock, with only three winners having previous experience of the track.
Winning form over the race distance of 1 mile 4 furlongs is a useful pointer as nine of the last 12 winners had previously won over the race distance and nine of the 12 had previously won twice, although not necessarily over the distance.
An Official Rating of at least 94 has been required to win the race on 10 of its last 12 renewals.
The race looks wide open and cases can be made for several runners. The Mark Johnston-trained Titi Makfi appears to have a good chance. The four year old Bay Filly was third to Euro Nightmare in a Listed race at Ayr last time out who reopposes again. However, that was over 1 mile 2 furlongs, as whereas Euro Nightmare has failed to win over this trip, Titi Makfi has winning form over 1 mile 4 furlongs and is also proven in Good to Firm ground.
She runs off an Official Rating of 101 and whilst the highest rating she has won off is 93, she does run off level weights which should be to her advantage. Another plus is that three of her five wins have come at galloping tracks and a chance is taken with her to notch up her sixth career win.
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Tony Ward is a keen follower of horseracing and provides readers of EclipseMagazine.co.uk with betting tips and explanations of that complicated pastime. Please note, Tony’s tips are his opinion only and you follow them at your own risk.