Eclipster: Solario Stakes at Sandown could suit Al Suhail

Saturday 1st September, Sandown Park – 3:35 – 7f – 188Bet Solario Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2yo)

The race is named after Solario who was a successful racehorse and sire. His sire was Gainsborough who won the Triple Crown of the 1,000 Guineas, Epsom Derby and the St Leger in 1918. His dam Sun Worship was a daughter of the very influential Sundridge who was the leading sire in Great Britain and Ireland in 1911. Solario won the St Leger in 1924 and went on to win the Coronation Cup in 1926 by 15 lengths before winning the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot.

The most successful trainer in the race since 2000 is John Gosden who has saddled five winners over the period.

The betting has been a very good guide recently with 11 of the last 12 winners coming out of the top three in the betting, including six favourites. Short priced winners have been prevalent with 10 of the last 12 winners going off at prices no higher than 4/1.

Recent winning form is also an important factor as nine of the last 12 winners had won on their previous start and nine of the last 12 winners had run in the last 49 days. Previous course form is not a factor. Nine of the last 12 winners had run at least once over the race distance of 7 furlongs and six of the last 12 winners had previously won over 7 furlongs.

All 12 winners had previously won earlier in their careers. Of the horses that had an Official Rating, a rating of 94 or higher has been required to win the race in eight of the last 12 renewals. None of the last 12 winners had previously won a Group race.

Of the seven runners Al Suhail fits the stats profile best. The two year old bay colt has run twice in his career to date, with both of his starts over 7 furlongs. He only failed to win on his first start when he was headed in the final strides to be beaten by a neck. His second run saw him break his maiden when, although he sweated up and was on his toes before the start, he was pushed clear a furlong from home and readily quickened clear to win by 4 lengths. His trainer Charlie Appleby is having a good season with his two year olds with 29 wins from 77 runs on the turf.

The Solario Stakes is the first time he is tried at Group level. He has entries in Group 1 and Group 2 contests later in the season so is clearly well thought of and a win in this Group 3 contest will set him up well for the rest of the season.

Please note: tips are followed at your own risk. Please gamble responsibly.  

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