Saturday 29th September – Newmarket – 2:25 – 6f (Row) Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) (Class 1) (2yo)

The Cheveley Park Stakes was first run in 1899 and is named after Cheveley Park, an estate purchased by Colonel Harry Leslie Blundell McCalmont who was a British officer, racehorse owner, yachtsman and Conservative party politician. The race is for two year old fillies only.

The betting has been a very reliable guide to the likely winner over the last 12 years with six favourites or joint favourites winning and 11 of the 12 winners coming from the first three in the betting. Brave Anna won the 2016 renewal at odds of 25/1. However the biggest priced winner over the last 12 years was 4/1 so it could well pay to look at horses at the time of the betting.

Recent winning and place form is important as 11 of the last 12 winners finished in the first two on their last outing and 10 of the winners ran within 41 days of the race. All of the last 12 winners had previously run over the race distance of 6 furlongs with nine of the winners having previous winning form over the trip. Fillies with some experience do well in the race as 10 of the last 12 winners had previously run at least three times prior to the race.

Previous form at Newmarket is not important as only three of the last 12 winners had previously run at the course. Look out for fillies with Group winning form earlier in the season as nine of the last 12 winners had at least one win in a Group 1 to 3 race and six of the last 12 winners won off an Official Rating of 105 or higher.

Pretty Pollyanna is likely to go off as the worthy favourite for the race and comes up well against the statistics. The bay filly has run four times in her career to date and has won on three occasions including the Group 1 Prix Morny on her last start. She has also been successful in Group 2 and Group 3 events. All of her runs have been over 6 furlongs and she has also won in Good ground. She is ridden by her regular jockey Silvestre De Sousa and could well take all of the beating.

Please note: tips are followed at your own risk. Please gamble responsibly.  

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Tony Ward is a keen follower of horseracing and provides readers of EclipseMagazine.co.uk with betting tips and explanations of that complicated pastime. Please note, Tony’s tips are his opinion only and you follow them at your own risk.