How to win the Guineas, Newmarket Guineas Festival 2016

Eclipster: Living In The Past looks good each way for the Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket

Saturday 28th September – Newmarket – 2:25pm – 6f , Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) (Class 1) (2yo)

The Cheveley Park Stakes was first run in 1899 and is named after Cheveley Park, an estate purchased by Colonel Harry Leslie Blundell McCalmont who was a British officer, racehorse owner, yachtsman and Conservative party politician. The race is for two year old fillies only.

The betting has been a very reliable guide to the likely winner over the last 12 years with five favourites or joint favourites winning and 11 of the 12 winners coming from the first three in the betting. Brave Anna won the 2016 renewal at odds of 25/1, but otherwise the biggest priced winner over the last 12 years was returned at odds of 6/1 so it could well pay to look at horses at shorter prices in the betting.

Recent winning and place form is important as 11 of the last 12 winners finished in the first two on their last outing and 10 of the winners ran within 41 days of the race. All of the last 12 winners had previously run over the race distance of 6 furlongs with nine of the winners having previous winning form over the trip. Fillies with some experience do well in the race as 10 of the last 12 winners had previously run at least three times prior to the race.

Form at Newmarket is not important as only three of the last 12 winners had previously run at the course. Look out for fillies with Group winning form earlier in the season as 10 of the last 12 winners had at least one win in a Group 1 to 3 race and six of the last 12 winners won off an Official Rating of 105 or higher.

Living In The Past won the Group 2 Lowther Stakes at York on her previous start. The Bay Filly who is trained by Karl Burke in North Yorkshire has won on two of her four runs. The Lowther Stakes has produced the winner of the Cheveley Park Stakes four times in the last 12 renewals. Three of the four winners won at York, with the other winner finishing in second place.

Living In The Past who runs off an Official Rating of 108 is an improving filly and was ridden from the front at York to make all. She is ridden by Danny Tudhope who rode her at York. Danny has a 19% winning strike rate riding for Karl Burke. With Raffle Prize likely to be sent off as a very short priced favourite, Living In The Past could be a decent each way alternative.



Please note: tips are followed at your own risk. Please gamble responsibly.  

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