Eclipster: Khaadem could rally for the Hackwood Stakes at Newbury

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Saturday 20th July – Newbury – 3:00pm – 6f bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

The Hackwood Stakes is a Group 3 race run over 6 furlongs. It was upgraded to Group 3 status in 2006 having held Listed status previously.

The last 25 renewals have been dominated by three and four year old horses who have won 18 times between them. Over the last 10 years however, four year old horses have won five times, whereas three year olds have won only twice. It will be interesting to see how the current Classic generation measures up this year.

The betting market looks to be a reasonable guide with eight of the last 12 renewals being won by horses in the first three in the betting, with the favourite winning five of the last 12 renewals. 

A recent run would appear to be key as all of the last 12 winners ran within 28 days of the race, with four of these winning on their last start. All of the last 12 winners had also run at least twice prior to the race in the current season. A previous run at Newbury can be useful as seven of the last 12 winners had run at the course previously, although only three of them had previous winning form at Newbury. 

Form over 6 furlongs is another key requirement with all of the last 12 winners having won at least once over the distance of which 10 of the winners had won twice or more over the trip.

An Official Rating of 104 has been required to win 11 of the last 12 renewals with four of the winners previously winning at Group level. 

Khaadem is having a reasonable season. The three year old brown colt won on his season debut taking the Listed Carnarvon Stakes over course and distance in May before finishing unplaced in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot on his last start. Khaadem drops down into a Group 3 contest and looks to have a decent chance of landing his first Group win. He has run five times in his career to date, with all of his runs coming over 6 furlongs, winning on three occasions.

He has won twice in the ground and won on his only start over course and distance. Hs trainer, Charles Hills is in good form saddling 10 winners from 37 runners in the last 14 days. He is ridden by Jim Crowley who is in equally good form and Jim won on Khaadem at Doncaster last September in a Class 2 Conditions race.

Keep an eye on The Tin Man, who although he has not won so far this season is still more than capable of putting in a winning run. The seven year old bay gelding has won nine times over 6 furlongs, winning four times at Group level, including three wins at Group 1.

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Please note: tips are followed at your own risk. Please gamble responsibly.  

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