Saturday 13th July – 4:40 – Newmarket (July Course) – 6f (July) Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo+)
The July Cup was first run in 1876 and the first two renewals were won by Springfield, a colt bred by Queen Victoria at the Hampton Court stud. When the present system of race grading was introduced in 1971 the July Cup was designated as a Group 2 race. It was ungraded to Group 1 status in 1978 and is part of the British Champions Series.
The race is dominated by three year olds and four year olds who have won 20 of the last 25 renewals. Runners who are in the top three in the betting should be carefully considered as nine of the last 12 renewals have been won by fancied horses with five favourites obliging.
The draw has been a reasonable guide recently with nine of the last 12 winners being drawn in single figure stalls. A recent run is also a good indicator as 11 of the last 12 winners ran within 26 days of the race and five of the last 12 winners also won on their previous start.
Course form is a plus as eight of the last 12 winners had previously run at Newmarket. Ten of the last 12 winners had also previously won over the race distance of 6 furlongs, with nine of the last 12 winners having won at least twice over the race distance. Eight of the last 12 winners had also won previously earlier in the season.
Look for horses who ran at Royal Ascot as 15 of the last 20 winners fit this profile.
An Official Rating of 110 or higher has been required to win the race on 10 of the last 12 occasions and 11 of the last 12 winners boasted at least one win in Groups 1 to 3.
Advertise will go off as favourite. The three year old bay colt won the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot on his last run by 1½ lengths when he stayed on strongly inside the last furlong. In his seven career starts Advertise now boasts two wins at Group 1 and a win at Group 2 and goes into the race off an Official Rating of 119 making him 7lbs clear of the rest of the field.
He is a course and distance winner, with four wins out of five over the race distance and has won twice in Good to Firm ground. Frankie Dettori is in the saddle, having ridden Advertise on four of his last five starts, including all of his Group wins. Dettori is in fabulous form at the moment winning on nine of his 18 rides in the last 14 days.
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