Thursday 15th May, 2:55, York, 1m 2½f (1m 2f 56y) Betfred Middleton Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 1) (4yo+)
The Middleton Stakes was first run in 1991 and was originally restricted to three year olds fillies. The current form of the race for older fillies was introduced in 1997 and was originally a Listed contest. It was upgraded to Group 3 status in 2004 and became a Group 2 race in 2010.
Sir Michael Stoute is the leading trainer in the race having won the event six times between 1989 and 2009.
The betting can be very informative when looking for the winner of the race, as in the last 12 renewals 10 horses have won from the front three in the betting, with six favourites obliging. Since the race conditions were changed in 1997 the race has only ever been won by four- and five year old horses.
Fillies making their seasonal reappearances have done well in the race recently with eight of the last 12 winners having their first run for at least 188 days, of which six of the winners had won or been placed on their last start.
Winning form over the trip is important as 10 of the last 12 winners had won at least once at distances between 1 mile 3 furlongs and 1 mile 5 furlongs. A previous run at York is also a good pointer as eight of the last 12 winners had previously run at the course.
It has taken an Official Rating of 108 or higher to win the race in 10 of the last 12 renewals, seven of which also had previous winning form at Group level.
The John Gosden trained Coronet fulfils all of the statistics for the race. She has an excellent pedigree for distance races being by Dubawi out of a Darshaan mare. Her last four races have been at Group 1 level with form figures of 3, 5, 2, 5. Her last run at Group 2 saw her winning the Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot last June. With winning form over the trip and on the ground the four year old grey filly is a worthy favourite.
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Tony Ward is a keen follower of horseracing and provides readers of EclipseMagazine.co.uk with betting tips and explanations of that complicated pastime. Please note, Tony’s tips are his opinion only and you follow them at your own risk.