CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL DAY 3 – OUR ECLIPSTER: BETTING TIPSTER TONY WARD OFFERS HIS ANALYSIS FOR THE STAYERS’ HURDLE.

Stayers’ Hurdle Statistics

3:30pm 3m (2m 7f 213y) (New) Sun Bets Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+)

The first running of the Stayers’ hurdle was in 1972 under the guise of the Lloyds Bank Hurdle. Parlour Moor won the first running of the race trained by Tom Jones at odds of 13/2. The oldest winner of the race was Crimson Embers in 1986 at the age of 11. He had previously won the race in 1982. However, the race will always be synonymous with Big Buck’s (pictured) who won the race an unprecedented four years in a row between 2009 and 2012.

The Stayers’ Hurdle has plenty of statistics to pore over:

  • No 5 year old has ever won the race
  • Only 2 Irish trained horses have won any of the last 20 renewals
  • 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
  • 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last start
  • 9 of the last 12 winners ran within the previous 54 days
  • All of the last 12 winners had previously run at Cheltenham
  • 8 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 win previously at Cheltenham
  • 18 of the last 22 winners ran at the previous Cheltenham Festival
  • 8 of the last 12 winners had won over 3 miles
  • 11 of the last 12 winners had run over hurdles at least 9 times
  • 11 of the last 12 winners had at least 4 wins over hurdles
  • 9 of the last 12 winners has at least one Grade 1 win
  • All of the last 12 winners had won earlier in the season
  • All of the last 12 winners had at least 1 run earlier in the season
  • Irish trained horses have only won 2 of the last 18 renewals

The statistics for the Stayers’ Hurdle bring the field down to very manageable proportions. One runner I will be going for is Yanworth. Alan King’s comments on his website about the eight year old chestnut gelding are interesting:

“We have fingers and toes firmly crossed that Yanworth can go one better when he switches back to the smaller obstacles for the Grade 1 Stayers’ Hurdle on day three of the Cheltenham Festival.

“Horses who have been chasing can jump a bit big when they first return to hurdling, but Yanworth’s schooling has gone fine.

“This looks the sensible option as the staying hurdle division looks wide open, and we know he gets the trip as he beat Supasundae on his one try at three miles in the Liverpool Hurdle last year, form which would put him right in the mix.

​“Similarly, ground conditions might suit us more than some of the others as he bolted up in the mud on Trials day at Cheltenham the season before last, so we are looking forward to the challenge.”

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