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Betting Tips for Wolverhampton: Woolfall Sovereign defends his 100% record over 5 furlongs

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2:25 – Wolverhampton – BOOKMAKERS.CO.UK HANDICAP (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0–95) Standard 5f 20y

Woolfall Sovereign runs for the third time over the minimum trip of 5 furlongs this afternoon with his trainer George Margarson commenting on his website: “We are hoping to see in the New Year with Woolfall Sovereign on Tuesday.

"He ran a blinder last time only to get mugged on the line, he is dropping back to 5f and he should get back to winning ways.”

He won on his first two runs over 5 furlongs and he has a good record at Wolverhampton and comes into the race fit but fresh as he is only having his fourth start since a break of 208 days.

Woolfall Sovereign has a decent record on the all-weather and has been successful on both the polytrack and fibresand surfaces, winning six times from 15 starts and being placed on a further four occasions. Both of his wins at 5 furlongs have come on the artificial surface with wins at Southwell and Lingfield. He should not have any problems running to his form at Wolverhampton as in 10 runs here he has won four times and been placed four times over 6 and 7 furlongs.

Not a typical 5 furlong speedball, Woolfall Soveriegn has been raced up with the pace on his previous two starts over the trip, before being produced for his run inside the final furlong when his longer distance stamina has enabled him to stay on past tiring horses.

He is ridden by Ian Mongan today and Ian has ridden him seven times previously, winning three times and being placed on two other occasions. Ian has ridden him on his last three starts since his summer break and is riding well currently with one winner and five placed rides from just seven rides over the last 14 days. Moreover, he has ridden seven winners from 28 rides on older horses for George Margarson over the past five years at a winning strike rate of 25% and as previously stated three of these have come on the seven-year-old Woolfall Sovereign.

George Margarson has his all-weather string in good form with two winners and one placed effort from only five runners in the past 14 days. Woolfall Soveriegn runs off top weight today off a mark of 93, 6lbs higher than his previous best winning mark at Lingfield two starts back. However, he ran off his new mark at Wolverhampton over 6 furlongs four days ago and only lost by a head, so looks more than capable of winning off it. Even though he will not be much of a price today, he does look the class act in the field and is confidently expected to win by his trainer. 

 

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TONY WARD

"I live in the North of Cumbria near the Solway Coast. My wife and I own a smallholding where we keep our horses. I have been involved in racing for over 20 years – the highlight being when a 2yo I owned won first time out at Hamilton Park. I work full-time in the racing game spending my time writing, researching and on course as a paddock judge – you can learn more about a horse’s chances watching them in the pre-parade and parade rings than you might imagine."

Read more of Tony's trends at http://freelanceracingwriter.com/


Disclaimer: Please note that Tony offers tips but cannot guarantee the results. All gambling is at your own risk and neither Eclipse Magazine Ltd nor Tony Ward can be held liable for any money lost as a result of following the tips. By using tips from this page you are deemed to have accepted this disclaimer. Please read your bookmaker's gambling guidelines, terms and conditions when placing a bet

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